A Review of Irish Recruiting

Thanks to Revue Party for this informative post on Irish Recruiting. It shows just how much Charlie has had to work to bring this program back from death’s doorstep. This class was only a disappointment compared to earlier expectations… that was clear to most, but not some. Here’s Revue Party’s analysis:

Here’s a look at our recruiting (based on Rivals) for the past four years against our 2007 schedule. Obviously, this is fraught with some issues. For example: 5th years seniors and defections are not accounted for (anyone else as bad as our ’04 class for losses?). Also, when a school had over 85 scholarships offered over a 4 year period, I clipped them at 85 and used their average rating to calculate the results.

Summary observations:

1) Only USC recruited more talent than ND over the past 2 years, and not by much.
2) All but Stanford, Navy and Air Force recruited more talent than ND over the previous 2 seasons (mostly due to quantity of players. Only USC, UM and PSU have higher ratings these two seasons).
3) Overall, only USC, Michigan and Penn State has recruited more talent over the past four years (MSU is close but too many players).
4) If Ty continued his recruiting prowess at ND (using UW’s last two years), Michigan St., UCLA and Purdue (almost) pull ahead of ND. That’s a 6-6 team.

On talent alone, we’re 9-3 next year based on an analysis fraught with holes. We’re heading towards becoming a 11-1, 12-0 team based on talent.

Edit: I did this analysis for 2005 and 2006. 2005 predicted 8-4 with losses to USC, Michigan, Tennessee and Ohio St. (75% accurate). 2006 predicted 10-3 with losses to USC, Michigan and LSU (100% accurate).

   06 and '07     04 and '05   Total     Max 85 
Plyrs Avg. Pts Plyrs Avg. Pts Plyrs Avg. Pts Plyrs Pts New Coach?
O 20 SOUTHERN CAL 43 4.07 175 40 4.00 160 83 4.04 335 83 335
S 15 @ Michigan 39 3.51 137 45 3.53 159 84 3.52 296 84 296
S 08 @ Penn State 45 3.40 153 44 3.02 133 89 3.21 286 85 273
S 22 MICHIGAN ST. 45 2.80 126 54 2.85 154 99 2.83 280 85 240 Y
S 29 @ Purdue 44 2.47 109 48 2.83 136 92 2.66 245 85 226
O 06 @ UCLA 32 3.35 107 47 2.79 131 79 3.01 238 79 238
N 17 DUKE 47 2.30 108 47 2.17 102 94 2.23 210 85 190
O 13 BOSTON COLLEGE 38 2.84 108 36 2.80 101 74 2.82 209 74 209 Y
S 01 GEORGIA TECH 36 3.03 109 42 2.29 96 78 2.63 205 78 205
N 24 @ Stanford 37 2.54 94 27 2.81 76 64 2.65 170 64 170 Y
N 03 NAVY 29 1.55 45 19 2.00 38 48 1.73 83 48 83
N 10 AIR FORCE 30 1.20 36 28 1.57 44 58 1.38 80 58 80 Y

Notre Dame 46 3.56 164 33 2.91 96 79 3.29 259.8 79 260
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